NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: American Univ

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#225 American Univ

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

American’s body of work is defined less by its nonconference victories over Penn and Longwood and a tight win over Drexel than by damaging road defeats at Wake Forest and Rutgers and a lopsided loss at George Washington, and that disparity undercuts the resume because there are no clear neutral-site or true road signature wins to balance those bad results. The back half of the schedule is almost entirely Patriot League business where wins over Boston University and head-to-heads with Colgate will steady the profile, while the only obvious opportunities to add an eye‑catching win come on the road at VCU and at Virginia. Put simply, the combination of poor results away from home, a nonconference slate that produced more harm than help, and a conference slate that offers few high-end chances explains the current standing and makes the conference tournament the most direct way to secure a berth.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	@Wake Forest	45	L88-74
11/9	Penn	245	W84-78
11/12	@G Washington	81	L107-67
11/18	@Rutgers	135	L80-71
11/28	Maine	316	W74-61
11/29	Siena	150	L59-55
11/30	Longwood	298	W92-66
12/3	Drexel	284	W75-73
12/6	MD E Shore	341	W78-60
12/18	@VCU	43	5%
12/22	@Virginia	23	2%
12/31	Loyola MD	333	82%
1/3	@Boston Univ	289	51%
1/7	@Colgate	161	28%
1/10	Holy Cross	296	73%
1/12	Navy	196	56%
1/18	@Army	344	68%
1/21	Colgate	161	49%
1/24	@Holy Cross	296	53%
1/28	@Loyola MD	333	63%
1/31	Lafayette	326	80%
2/4	Bucknell	301	75%
2/7	@Navy	196	34%
2/11	@Lehigh	303	55%
2/14	Army	344	85%
2/18	@Bucknell	301	54%
2/21	@Lafayette	326	61%
2/25	Lehigh	303	75%
2/28	Boston Univ	289	72%